Presidential Pick'em Statistics

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Total Valid Maps

3993

Average Score

393.9

Median Score

424.8

Score Distribution

Most Accurate States

States with the correct winner independent of margin

California 3866 correct
Kentucky 3830 correct
Alabama 3827 correct
Oklahoma 3816 correct
Arkansas 3811 correct
Texas 3804 correct
Tennessee 3798 correct
Washington 3793 correct
Wyoming 3791 correct
Mississippi 3790 correct

Least Accurate States

States with the incorrect winner independent of margin

Michigan 3130 incorrect
Wisconsin 2822 incorrect
Pennsylvania 2452 incorrect
Nevada 2314 incorrect
Georgia 1291 incorrect
North Carolina 1290 incorrect
NE-2 1268 incorrect
Arizona 1164 incorrect
ME-2 1150 incorrect
ME-1 1062 incorrect

State Accuracy Distribution

Number of States with Correct Winner

56 states 109 users
55 states 156 users
54 states 273 users
53 states 398 users
52 states 508 users
51 states 475 users
50 states 399 users
49 states 350 users
48 states 236 users
47 states 168 users
...

Perfect State Accuracy Distribution

States with both correct winner and margin

Number of Perfect State Predictions

50 states 0 users
49 states 0 users
48 states 4 users
47 states 14 users
46 states 26 users
45 states 46 users
44 states 90 users
43 states 159 users
42 states 251 users
41 states 437 users
40 states 237 users
...

Average Margins Off by State

States with the worst margin of error

Michigan 3.19
Pennsylvania 2.59
Nevada 2.53
Arizona 2.31
Wisconsin 2.17
Iowa 1.91
ME-1 1.77
Georgia 1.73
NE-2 1.71
ME-2 1.71
North Carolina 1.70
NE-1 1.56
Ohio 1.51
Illinois 1.41
Florida 1.40
Texas 1.38
Minnesota 1.31
New Jersey 1.29
New Hampshire 1.28
NE-3 1.27
Virginia 1.13
New Mexico 1.09
Colorado 1.07
Alaska 1.07
Maine 1.05
District of Columbia 0.97
Delaware 0.96
Rhode Island 0.90
Maryland 0.89
Hawaii 0.87
Connecticut 0.84
Vermont 0.84
Indiana 0.83
Massachusetts 0.81
South Carolina 0.80
Kansas 0.73
Oregon 0.73
West Virginia 0.73
Utah 0.72
Missouri 0.72
New York 0.69
Nebraska 0.68
Idaho 0.66
Montana 0.64
Washington 0.62
Louisiana 0.61
Tennessee 0.59
Arkansas 0.56
South Dakota 0.56
Mississippi 0.56
Wyoming 0.56
North Dakota 0.56
Kentucky 0.55
Oklahoma 0.52
Alabama 0.49
California 0.39